Website review: The Oil Drum | USA 2034: A Look Bac...
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•3 reviews since Oct 26, 2007
environment
•theoildrum.com/node/3140
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bildoe rated 7 months ago- this is a great site, really good reading. This flow chart suggests how things might progress if we (humans) were all to vanish tomorrow.
- LafnLion rated 7 months ago
- God, I wish! A short essay, purported written in 2034, on what the USA would be like if we initiated and took a war on oil seriously. Based on the projections made here, with a sustained government and people-powered effort to stop burning hydrocarbons, by 2034 we could cut our oil consumption by 70%, our greenhouse gas emissions by 75%, curtail global warming and be energy self sufficient. The article details the steps that must be taken. None of them would cause our economy to crash, and they would allow for an increase in our population. Although the picture below is on the page, and is a bit scary, it is from one of the comments, not from the article itself, and speculates on what would happen to the planet if mankind disappeared in a blink.
- laodan rated 7 months ago
- USA 2034: A Look Back at the 25th Anniversary Year in The Oil Drum by Alan S. Drake
After an extended period of bewildering, painful and rewarding transition, the people of the USA finally feel that they have found their feet underneath them, with a clear and hopeful path to the future. Oil consumption is down to 6.6 million barrels/day, 30% of our 2007 peak oil use, and CO2 emissions are 26% of their 2011 peak, a matter of pride for most Americans. Rapid reductions in world carbon emissions (almost as great as US reductions), plus some negative feedback loops, have kept Global Warming effects manageable. Persistent and prolonged droughts in the American Southwest have been the largest effect so far in the USA. At long last the goal of "Not One Drop" of oil is being burned to transport people and freight over the nations railroads. All of the main and secondary lines are electrified with battery locomotives for some short spurs. USA 2034: A Look Back at the 25th Anniversary Year There is no doubt in my mind that our way of life will have dramatically changed 20-30 years from now. How it changes remains unknown. Projections on what the future entails are indeed no more than projections in the future of present understandings and dreams. Alan S. Drake projects into the future the somewhat dull vision of our present defined solely in terms of energy scarcity and climate change. But we all know by now that our present is defined by much more than those 2 determinant parameters. As I often wrote our future is bound to emerge as a result of the interactions between a set of determinant parameters that appear to occur almost simultaneously in late-modernity. + mass extinction of species that continually reduces the number of future possible outcomes for the principle of life on Gaia our earth. + peak resources (oil, minerals, rare metals...) that leads to scarcity industrialism, conflicts between nations and the market being superseded by central planning. + climate change that now appears has been a leading cause of past mass extinctions. + poisoning of land, air and water impacts human health and reduces life expectancies. + scientific singularity will eliminate human judgment from the decision making about the choices impacting the production of our future. + globalization redistributes the world's economic cards among the national participants in the global capitalistic game. + the emergence of a worldwide worldview shall impose itself as a necessity in order for humanity to survive the side-effects of modernity.
- USA 2034: A Look Back at the 25th Anniversary Year in The Oil Drum by Alan S. Drake
