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  • The Law of Accelerating Returns

    The Law of Accelerating Returns From the page: "The Intuitive Linear View versus the Historical Exponential View Most long range forecasts of technical feasibility in future time periods dramatically underestimate the power of future technology because they are based on what I call the... more

    Reviewed by lunaticprophet Jun 04 2008, 11:27am ( 161 reviews ) • kurzweilai.net

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  • Reviewed by NoirBushPilot on Nov 05, 9:12pm

    Seems a bit far fetched, but still an interesting read.

  • Rated by MetalReign on Nov 03, 1:57pm

    Even if Kurzweil is overly optimistic the trend of exponential growth indicates that the difference between optimistic and conservative estimates would only be around 15 to 20 years. The main point to be taken away from this piece is that change is happening faster than most tend to realize. We are headed toward a society in the coming decades that none of us alive today even have the scope to comprehend.

  • Rated by harrystottle on Oct 26, 4:48pm

    still my favourite technoptimist...

  • Rated by giflikta on Oct 21, 12:54am

    Wonderful resource!

  • Rated by logos on Sep 23, 5:45pm

    This point is good,I take his in a way, xguse rated 5 weeks ago Kurzweil is a SMART guy that has let his need for immortality cloud his thoughts. I am all for human/machine interfaces, but the bit about immortality is sloppy thinking. I dont think he mentions that here, but ultimately that is what motivates the singularity writings. The exponential growth charts that he uses (or at least used to use) in his book have been shown to be GREATLY optimistic at BEST and down right dishonest at worst. (http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2009/02/singularly_silly_singularity.php)

  • Rated by TroubleEntendre on Sep 11, 6:24pm

    I like futurism, so I'm giving this a thumbs-up, but anyone who understands what evolution really is will be skeptical of many of the claims made in this essay.

  • Rated by Enigmaassassin on Aug 19, 10:59am

    It's amazing to find out how far human race has gone with technological advancements. For a more concise visual version watch the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpEnFwiqdx8

  • Rated by xguse on Aug 19, 9:16am

    Kurzweil is a SMART guy that has let his need for immortality cloud his thoughts. I am all for human/machine interfaces, but the bit about immortality is sloppy thinking. I dont think he mentions that here, but ultimately that is what motivates the singularity writings. The exponential growth charts that he uses (or at least used to use) in his book have been shown to be GREATLY optimistic at BEST and down right dishonest at worst. (http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2009/02/singularly_silly_singularity.php)