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laodan laodan discovered this in Politics 1 reviews since Aug 24, 2007
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laodan discovered 11 months ago
The new 'NATO of the East' takes shape M K Bhadrakumar career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service for more than 29 years, with postings including India's ambassador to Uzbekistan (1995-98) and to Turkey (1998-2001).
A recent summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization moved the grouping a few steps closer to becoming a "supra-regional alliance". That was underscored by Russia's simultaneous flexing of its dormant air power. Washington still believes that the SCO is some way from becoming a strategic alliance and that there is still time to weaken it before an opposition bloc actually takes shape. The new 'NATO of the East' takes shape Shanghai Cooperation for Oil An excellent paper on geo-politics. Much of what is going on in the world today relates to the control of oil supply routes. Peak Oil is not often discussed publicly by the Oil majors nor by politicians but it is definitely a central concern of theirs. In one word, Peak Oil means that the world has reached the maximum quantity of oil it can possibly extract per day and from here on the total quantities extracted daily can only go down. What is still debated is the exact year when this statistical feat will occur. But according to the IEA, the current peak production of 86.13 mbd occurred on July 2006. In June 2007 total liquids production fell to an unexpectedly low 84.28 mbd. World oil discovery rates peaked in 1965 (Fig 4) and production has exceeded discovery for every year since the mid 1980s. For more details check the World Oil Forecasts. The demand for oil is bound to grow further due to China, India and other third world countries entering modernity. So on one side we have total daily extracted oil decreasing while total daily demand for oil increases. This simple reality is provoking increasing tensions that ultimately, a few years down the road, could lead to something more serious, something as conflict, that could find its ultimate outcome through the use of force! The mess in Irak relates clearly to oil as Chris Vernon writes in Why Dick changed his mind. What's going on around the SCO is then not a distraction. It's the stuff out of which our future shall be drawn...



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