how to calculate
how to calculate
Murphy's Law Calculator
From a formula for * Sod's Law provided by British Gas: ((U+C+I) x (10-S))/20 x A x 1/(1-sin(F/10))
"anything that can go wrong, will go wrong!"
Find out in advance whether you will be able to successfully repair your VCR, get to a meeting on time, impress your date, or be a success at any activity whatsoever !
Factor Rating Explanation
Urgency: - how urgent is this task ? (9 = right away, 1 = sometime this year, maybe)
Importance: - how important is this task ? (9 = absolutely critical, 1 = complete waste of time)
Complexity: - how complex is this task ? (2 = "a child could do it", 8 = brain surgery)
Skill: - what is your skill level for this ? (1 = complete klutz, 9 = expert)
Frequency: - how often do you have to do this ? (1 = just once, 9 = every day)
British Gas commissioned Dr David Lewis, a chartered psychologist; Dr Keylan Leyser, an economist and business consultant; and Philip Obadya, a mathematician, to devise the formula. Likelihood scores are for a typical adult and are based on the nation-wide survey of 1023 adults, conducted by Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS) that the team used to test their work.
This thing is neither comforting, nor stressing by itself. Quite like a coin toss on an important decision. You just use it to stimulate an action you already considered doing. So, if I want to buy a new car, this year, without taking a loan or credit and I know it to be a slim to none chance, I can use this meter to confirm it and, hopefully, settle the dilemma of whether to work extra hard for it, or dump the idea and settle with my current mode of transportation.
Online calculator to express the likelyhood of disaster by applying the following expression: ((U+C+I) x (10-S))/20 x A x 1/(1-sin(F/10)).
Unfortunately, the calculation glosses over important variables such as the number of important witnesses such as financiers and lawmakers in attendance, the cost of duplicating the operation, etc.
Murphy's law (Sod's law) calculation
Murphy's law condensed into a simple calculation